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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

A
@afterdays•29 days ago
$60 Vol0 days leftFreePolitics
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026

Outcomes

Before Sep 1, 2026
16%
Before Jul 1, 2026
51%
Before Aug 1, 2026
32%

Rules & Resolution

Resolves to

YES

This market resolves to YES if the criteria defined in the title is met by May 16, 2026.

Creator Notes

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch. If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch. Before Sep 1, 2026 If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.

G
Active · Expiry: May 16, 2026
May 16, 2026 at 12:53 UTC
$0.00
Your Balance:S0 USDC
To Wini
S-

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